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  • August 2012
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Obama pWP

I’ll be tracking Obama’s political Win Probability, a neat stat I invented a couple years ago to turn the standard horserace polls into usable and meaningful information, through to election day. Right now, heading into Romney’s primetime convention speech, Obama has a significant pWP lead:

I take my numbers from RealClearPolitics, and calculate pWP based on the methods described in my first pWP post, which I’ve tacked to the frontpage of the blog.

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