I’ll be digging around exit polls for a while after this election, but a quick look at what’s available now shows, very clearly, this Republican wave has been built on two columns. The first column was a surprisingly high conservative turnout, the second was independent voters. Independent voters are a nuanced crowd, the economy being a big factor, another was simple anti-incumbancy, and there was dissatisfaction with Obama. Neither column is sturdy enough to carry the GOP through to 2012. And neither column has anything to do with the teapartiers (who are basically just already politically active middle classers). Please GOPers, don’t misread this elections like the Dems misread ’06/’08.
- Unaligned Voters Tilt Rightward (online.wsj.com)
- Exit Polls Vindicate Pre-Election Polls (blogs.forbes.com)
- An older, more conservative electorate (msnbc.msn.com)
- Exit Polls: Democratic Coalition Cracks (online.wsj.com)
- Exit Polls Suggest Long Night for Democrats (online.wsj.com)
- Exit Poll: Lower Turnout of Youths, Blacks (cbsnews.com)
- Exit polls: voters hate both parties (dailykos.com)