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Luis Castillo Traded

The Mets took our leadoff guy. I really don’t have a strong opinion either way.

Minnesota Ranks 25th out of 30 in 2nd base OPS
They Rank 23rd out of 30 in leadoff OPS
The Twins 1st inning offensive line: .250 BA .322 OBP .341 SLG
The Twins offensive line overall: .267 BA .332 OBP .400 SLG (Thus showing the Twins are way below average offensively in the first inning i.e. when Castillo is typically leading off for us).

In reality, Luis Castillo doesn’t appear to be a major factor in this team’s scoring ability. Even his “Win probability Added” (WPA) was a meager .22 which was good enough for 10th out of 25 among MLB 2nd basemen. (However his WPA was 6th highest on the team this year.) He was a good glove but a huge injury risk. He did give offense to the team (whereas Nick Punto and L-Rod are offensive black holes) and I still don’t think Alexi Casilla is MLB worthy but we were going to lose him no matter what next year anyway.

I just can’t find it within myself to have any strong feelings on this trade. (The minor leaguers we got are probably just roster fillers). I wish the Twins could have pulled a legitimate prospect. But what can you do? The market for 2nd baseman was weak.

In the end, if I had to answer the question “How many wins is this trade going to cost the Twins,” my short answer is “less than one.” If Buscher or Casilla or Rondell White turn in a good September it could wipe out any loss the removal of Castillo created.


2 Responses

  1. I’m not much of a stats guy but I do watch a fair amount of Twins baseball on TV. I can tell you that I get excited when Castillo is up to bat and it seems (albeit unscientifically measured) I am rarely disappointed.

    Furthermore I think the stats belie his motivational effect on his (former)teammates, hence the rumors today that the team was disappointed by the trade.

  2. They’re professionals, I’m certain they won’t allow Castillo’s departure to affect their play.

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